Initial Thoughts on Apple’s Strong 3Q25 Earnings

Hello everyone. Welcome to a special Friday edition of Above Avalon Daily. Apple reported 3Q25 earnings yesterday (Thursday). The results can be viewed here. Today's update will go over my initial thoughts on the release and earnings call. We will continue our discussion next week.

Have a great weekend.

Let's jump right into today's update.


Initial Thoughts on Apple’s Strong 3Q25 Earnings

Yesterday, Apple reported its strongest quarterly results in more than three years. Overall 3Q25 revenue was up 10%. We need to go back to 1Q22 for the last time Apple reported double-digit revenue growth (+11.2%). Results for iPhone and Mac were legitimately good. iPhone revenue was up 13% (strongest quarterly revenue growth since 4Q21) while Mac revenue was up 15% continuing what has been an upturn in the Mac business.

While the iPhone and Mac were the two Apple product categories that stood to see the greatest impact from a pull forward in demand related to tariff fears, Apple said such pull forward was not the primary driver for the strong quarterly performance. For iPhone, approximately 20% of 3Q25 revenue growth was attributed to pull forward. Overall, about 10% of Apple’s 3Q25 revenue growth was related to pull forward.

Apple also said iPhone channel inventory

Become a member to continue reading today’s update. Already a member? Read the full update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time.

Subscribe $20/month
Subscribe $200/year


Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the AVALON, Podcasts, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

Previous
Previous

iPhone, Mac, and Apple Watch Unit Sales Data

Next
Next

My Apple 3Q25 Earnings Estimates, Above Avalon Expectation Meters