Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

iPhone 17 Sales Momentum, A Smartphone Industry Observation, Apple’s 2025 Holiday Ad

Today's Above Avalon Daily update includes the following stories:

  • iPhone 17 Sales Momentum

  • A Smartphone Industry Observation

  • Apple’s 2025 Holiday Ad

We begin with Neil’s thoughts on the latest iPhone estimates from Counterpoint. The discussion then turns to one of Neil’s observations regarding what is unfolding in the broader smartphone industry. We conclude with some comments on Apple’s new 2025 holiday ad featuring puppets.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Thoughts on iPhone Demand, Apple Is Being Underestimated, What Meta’s Connect Keynote Demo Fails Revealed

Today's Above Avalon Daily update includes the following stories:

  • Thoughts on iPhone Demand

  • Apple Is Being Underestimated

  • What Meta’s Connect Keynote Demo Fails Revealed

The update kicks off with my thoughts on iPhone demand over iPhone launch weekend and heading into Apple’s FY26. We then discuss how the iPhone is the latest example of Apple being underestimated. The update concludes with an observation regarding how Meta’s keynote demo fails at Connect were perceived on social media.

An Above Avalon Daily subscription is required to read this daily update. Subscribers can read the update here.

An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.

Choose either a monthly or annual subscription. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and subscription status at any time.

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Subscribe $200/year


Subscriber Privileges and Benefits

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the AVALON, Podcasts, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

My Full Notes From Apple’s “Awe Dropping” Event

Hello everyone. Welcome to a new week.

As we go through my notes from Apple’s event, some of the major themes and takeaways (discussed last Tuesday) will shine through. This was one of the more HW-focused events from Apple in recent memory.

Let’s jump in.


My Full Notes From Apple’s “Awe Dropping” Event

Apple’s Opening Video

Apple kicked off its “Awe Dropping” presentation with a black screen and the following Steve Jobs quote in white lettering: “Design is not just what it looks like and feels like. Design is how it works.” Apple then showed an 80-second montage of various Apple features, capabilities, and tools connected via shapes, textures, and materials. The video even featured a few Apple retail stores - a prelude to the store’s much larger role in the presentation. It was nice to see Apple emphasize design in such a direct way for a change. It brought back memories of some Apple marketing from the early 2010s.


Opening scene to Apple’s presentation 

AirPods Pro 3

Redesign. AirPods Pro 3 have a new multi-port acoustic architecture that allows more airflow (sound) into the ear. Apple also has new foam-infused ear tips meant to improve Active Noise Cancellation (ANC). The AirPods have gotten smaller to fit in and stay in more ears – users will have five different options for the ear tips.

While audio remains positioned at the center of AirPods Pro 3 marketing, Apple relied on a “but there is more” mention to refer to the product category’s growing presence in health and activity monitoring.

Upgrading. Apple positioned the AirPods Pro 3’s ANC as a “must-have upgrade…” for those using older AirPods.

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An audio version of this update is available to members who have the podcast add-on attached to their membership.


Above Avalon Membership

Choose either a monthly or annual membership. Payment is hosted by MoonClerk and secured by Stripe. Apple Pay and other mobile payment options are accepted. After signup, use this link to update your payment information and membership status at any time.

Subscribe $20/month
Subscribe $200/year


Member Privileges and Benefits

Become an Above Avalon member and receive the following privileges and benefits:

  • Exclusive Analysis. Receive the Above Avalon Daily newsletter, widely-recognized as the leading daily newsletter dedicated to Apple. Now in its tenth year.

  • Archive Access. Access previous newsletters sent to members.

  • Member Forum Access. Access all channels in the Above Avalon forum in Discord.

  • Email Access. Receive timely responses from Neil to email inquiries. 

  • Access to Add-ons. Customize a membership with the AVALON, Podcasts, Inside Orchard, and Financial Models add-ons.

  • Above Avalon Support. Play an active role in supporting Above Avalon as an independent voice and resource.

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