Thoughts Heading Into Apple’s 3Q25 Earnings Release

Hello everyone. Apple reports earnings on Thursday. For today's update, we will begin to prepare for the earnings release. 


Thoughts Heading Into Apple’s 3Q25 Earnings Release

As we will discuss in greater detail tomorrow, Apple’s 3Q25 results should be relatively fine. Revenue growth will likely be close to 2Q25 levels while margins may get dinged a little bit by tariffs. And yet, the numbers themselves probably won’t matter a whole lot. Instead, Apple finds itself stuck in mud on Wall Street. A growing list of headwinds have contributed to Apple shares experiencing some of their worst underperformance relative to peers and the market in recent memory.

While every other Big Tech company has moved notably higher from the tariff-induced lows of early April, Apple has barely participated.

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My Apple 3Q25 Earnings Estimates, Above Avalon Expectation Meters

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Alphabet 2Q25: By the Numbers, Alphabet Earnings Call Highlights, Overall Alphabet Takeaways