I felt Apple did a good job today. For the first time Apple will be selling two brand new phones, including one for under $100 in the U.S. A brand new iPhone for under $100. I wouldn’t underestimate the impact of such a feat.
While there were some interesting technologies introduced, including a fingerprint scanner and a motion coprocessor, I have learned to control my long-term predictions on what such technologies may mean for Apple’s product line. Time will tell if such innovations become major cornerstones in future Apple products.
The most controversial aspect of today’s event was iPhone pricing. I see a schism developing among the tech punditry. On one hand, there is the belief that market share is king and Apple must address the bottom of the market because developers will begin to focus on Android’s sheer numbers instead of iOS. On the other side, where I stand, market share is not created equal. It is okay if Apple doesn’t address the lower end of the market since five consumers who don’t buy mobile apps or content is not equal to one who does. Looking at today’s events, I think Apple is doing the right thing gradually moving down market (iPhone 4 and 4S have not been discontinued). This strategy will only expand in coming years. With approximately 400M-500M (and growing) active iOS users with credit cards, I view the iOS ecosystem as now self-sustaining, capable of app innovation as long as the hardware and software back developers up. If I changed sides and instead only looked at market share, I’m sure I would have been championing Symbian, then Blackberry, and now Android. Market share is not everything.
Moving to more minor topics, Apple is still addicted to case money, now selling iPhone 5s and 5c cases. Selling cases is a good and easy business decision and judging from the popularity of iPhone cases, Apple will make a decent amount of profit (and margin) from going down that road. Apple also announced it will give away $40 of software with new iPhone and iPad purchases. While I am not a big user of Apple’s mobile productivity apps, quite a few people are and I suspect there will be many happy iOS users.
There are still plenty of questions remaining about Apple and strategy.
Did Apple’s keynote contain a bit too much of tech jargon? Maybe.
Will mainstream consumers accept iOS 7 without any major complaints? Maybe.
Will Apple’s margin actually benefit from the new iPhone line? Maybe.
Nevertheless, with a new flagship phone that has enough differentiation to stand out from competitors, a more value-oriented option for consumers with slightly different priorities, and the desire to maintain older iPhone models in order to address the mid-tier phone market, I like where Apple is sitting and the outlook for the iPhone business over the next 6-12 months.