Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Let’s Talk About Bloomberg’s Vision Pro Hit Piece, Revisiting Apple’s Spatial Computing Strategy

Today's Above Avalon Daily update includes the following stories:

  • Let’s Talk About Bloomberg’s Vision Pro Hit Piece

  • Revisiting Apple’s Spatial Computing Strategy

Hello everyone. For today’s update, we will take a closer look at a Bloomberg article regarding Apple that made quite a few waves the past two days. Simply put, there is a lot of noise found with the article. Let’s discuss.  

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Amazon Unveils New Hardware, A Few Alexa+ Product Highlights, Search Party

Today's Above Avalon Daily update includes the following stories:

  • Amazon Unveils New Hardware

  • A Few Alexa+ Product Highlights

  • Search Party

Hello everyone. Let’s keep running ahead with an update focused on Amazon. The company held a hardware event this past Tuesday. Let’s jump in.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Meta Launches Vibes, OpenAI Launches Sora 2, Sora as a Social App?

Today's Above Avalon Daily update includes the following stories:

  • Meta Launches Vibes

  • OpenAI Launches Sora 2

  • Sora as a Social App?

Hello everyone. Based on the number of incoming comments related to Monday’s update, we will stay in AI land for today’s update. The discussion will be focused on AI-generated videos as Meta and OpenAI battle each other for attention with new product launches.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

OpenAI’s First Ad Campaign for ChatGPT, Anthropic's First Ad Campaign for Claude, Chatbot Rivalry

Today's Above Avalon Daily update includes the following stories:

  • OpenAI’s First Ad Campaign for ChatGPT

  • Anthropic's First Ad Campaign for Claude

  • Chatbot Rivalry

Hello everyone. We will kick off a new week of updates with something a little bit different - a deep dive into the inaugural ad campaigns for some of the largest AI startups (OpenAI, Anthropic) and Perplexity. Let's jump in.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

iPhone Air as a Bridge to AI Devices?

Today's Above Avalon Daily update includes the following story:

  • iPhone Air as a Bridge to AI Devices?

We will continue this week’s Apple product strategy focus. One of the more intriguing discussion topics arising from Apple’s “Awe Dropping” event has been found with how Apple will leverage the iPhone Air in terms of other products. We take a closer look at the assertion that the iPhone Air is a bridge to future (AI) devices from Apple. There is reason to approach the assertion from a different direction.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Smart Rings vs. Smartwatches, Smart Bands vs. Smartwatches, Smart Glasses vs. Smartwatches

Today's Above Avalon Daily update includes the following stories:

  • Smart Rings vs. Smartwatches

  • Smart Bands vs. Smartwatches

  • Smart Glasses vs. Smartwatches

The update that came out earlier today (accessible here) got me thinking more about smart rings. We will kick this update off with a more thorough examination of the smart ring vs. smartwatch comparison. The discussion will then naturally evolve to cover another health tracker that has been gaining a bit of buzz. We conclude our smartwatch design topic by circling back to Meta’s Ray-Ban Display glasses.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Apple Unveils First Third-Party Films In Apple Immersive, Oura Surpasses $10B Valuation, Oura vs. Apple Watch

Today's Above Avalon Daily update includes the following stories:

  • Apple Unveils First Third-Party Films In Apple Immersive

  • Oura Surpasses $10B Valuation

  • Oura vs. Apple Watch

Hello everyone. We are going to keep running forward with some Apple Vision Pro news. While the goal was to get this update out late on Tuesday, it was held back until morning to look at some new Apple Immersive Video with fresh eyes. Our attention will then turn to Oura, the smart ring maker. The company is raising $875M at a $10.9B valuation. We take a closer look at how Oura compares to Apple Watch.

Let’s go.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Thoughts on iPhone Demand, Apple Is Being Underestimated, What Meta’s Connect Keynote Demo Fails Revealed

Today's Above Avalon Daily update includes the following stories:

  • Thoughts on iPhone Demand

  • Apple Is Being Underestimated

  • What Meta’s Connect Keynote Demo Fails Revealed

The update kicks off with my thoughts on iPhone demand over iPhone launch weekend and heading into Apple’s FY26. We then discuss how the iPhone is the latest example of Apple being underestimated. The update concludes with an observation regarding how Meta’s keynote demo fails at Connect were perceived on social media.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Meta Connect 2025, The Problem(s) With Meta Ray-Ban Display, Mark Zuckerberg’s “Youth” Strategy

Hello everyone. Today’s update will be dedicated to discussing Meta and their new smart glasses with a display. 


Meta Connect 2025

Continuing the string of brutal live keynotes in the consumer tech space, making it through Meta’s Connect 2025 keynote was a tough 58-minute slog. Connect is Meta’s annual developers conference dedicated to AR/VR/MR.

Before going any further, let’s address the elephant in the room. Deciding to unveil consumer gadgets 36 hours prior to the largest iPhone launch in years is quite the choice. Last year, Meta held its Connect conference the week after new iPhones launched. A few years back, Connect was held in October. Pushing things up to basically be timed to coincide with the iPhone launch is a sign of hubris on Mark Zuckerberg’s part. Meta may have been trying to interrupt Apple’s product launches more than being concerned of having their product(s) be drowned out by Apple’s launch press coverage.

Meta stuck with its usual live presentation and demo format, except it took place at 8 pm ET – another hubris-led decision as Meta basically lost half of the U.S. viewing audience. The company ran into extensive demo trouble throughout the keynote.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Apple Defines the iPhone Air’s Target Customer, Apple’s iPhone Fashion Play

Happy Wednesday.

For today’s update, we will continue analyzing Apple’s post-keynote press strategy. Let’s jump right in. 


Apple Defines the iPhone Air’s Target Customer

Here’s the WSJ:

“Molly Anderson wants to make it hard for you to pick your next phone.

As Apple’s vice president of industrial design, she’d like it to be an iPhone, of course. But this year she wants to make the job a little tougher than just grabbing an upgraded version of whatever model you already carry.

Her weapon of choice? The iPhone Air, announced at Apple’s annual launch even on Tuesday at the company’s headquarters in Cupertino, Calif.

The Air is exactly what it sounds like: a razor-thin phone. “It’s something that we dreamed about for a long time,” Anderson said, ‘to make just an incredibly, shockingly thin iPhone.’

Strong words, but hard to argue with: At 5.6mm, front to back, the Air is thinner than a Cartier ‘Love’ bracelet in ‘classic’ size and only a touch thicker than three quarters stacked together—an iPhone for the Ozempic era.

‘It does seem like it’s going to fly away when you’re holding it,’ Apple chief executive Tim Cook said in a one-on-one interview a few hours after his keynote. As Alan Dye, Apple’s vice president of human interface design and Anderson’s co-leader of the whole design crew put it, the Air represents another step ‘towards that singular piece of glass that Steve Jobs talked about back in the day.’"


If this article seemed a bit too even keeled for the WSJ, it was from the WSJ’s style team. It might as well have been from a completely different publication. For some reason the tech news team is the only group within the WSJ that is not capable of writing an unbiased article about Apple.

Earlier this week, we talked about how Apple used its “Awe Dropping” presentation to emphasis design in a direct way.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Apple Talks Product Development With Tom’s Guide and TechRadar

Hello everyone. This update was originally going to come out late Tuesday. It’s coming out about 12 hours later. The goal is to have another update ready to go later today.

To recap where things stand, we officially concluded reviewing Apple’s “Awe Dropping” presentation with Monday’s update. Three updates went over my thoughts from the presentation / event:

Our attention will now turn to Apple’s post-keynote press strategy. As we will talk about today, Apple sat down with Tom’s Guide and TechRadar for what was one of the more productive interviews in some time. A fair amount of information that didn’t come through the pretaped presentation was shared.

Let’s discuss. 


Apple Talks Product Development With Tom’s Guide and TechRadar

Last week, Tom’s Guide and TechRadar released video interviews with Apple’s Greg “Joz” Joswiak (SVP worldwide marketing) and John Ternus (SVP hardware engineering). One long interview was split into two so that each publication had something to call their own in terms of YouTube channel uploads. The interview was conducted by Mark Spoonauer and Lance Ulanoff. This past June, the two sat down with Joz and Craig Federighi (SVP software engineering) at WWDC in what was an all-around decent interview. Apple clearly thought highly enough of the format to try it again for the September HW event. Apple made the right decision.

The interview was good from the perspective of Apple sharing insight that didn’t necessarily come through its presentation. The questions touched upon subjects that were both relevant and interesting from a strategy perspective. In addition, the interviewers didn’t try to chase clout by trying to play gotcha with Joz and Ternus.

The two videos are available here (Part 1) and here (Part 2). A quick recap of what was discussed:

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

My Full Notes From Apple’s “Awe Dropping” Event

Hello everyone. Welcome to a new week.

As we go through my notes from Apple’s event, some of the major themes and takeaways (discussed last Tuesday) will shine through. This was one of the more HW-focused events from Apple in recent memory.

Let’s jump in.


My Full Notes From Apple’s “Awe Dropping” Event

Apple’s Opening Video

Apple kicked off its “Awe Dropping” presentation with a black screen and the following Steve Jobs quote in white lettering: “Design is not just what it looks like and feels like. Design is how it works.” Apple then showed an 80-second montage of various Apple features, capabilities, and tools connected via shapes, textures, and materials. The video even featured a few Apple retail stores - a prelude to the store’s much larger role in the presentation. It was nice to see Apple emphasize design in such a direct way for a change. It brought back memories of some Apple marketing from the early 2010s.

Opening scene to Apple’s presentation 

AirPods Pro 3

Redesign. AirPods Pro 3 have a new multi-port acoustic architecture that allows more airflow (sound) into the ear. Apple also has new foam-infused ear tips meant to improve Active Noise Cancellation (ANC). The AirPods have gotten smaller to fit in and stay in more ears – users will have five different options for the ear tips.

While audio remains positioned at the center of AirPods Pro 3 marketing, Apple relied on a “but there is more” mention to refer to the product category’s growing presence in health and activity monitoring.

Upgrading. Apple positioned the AirPods Pro 3’s ANC as a “must-have upgrade…” for those using older AirPods.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Observations Attending Apple’s “Awe Dropping” Event, Who Is the iPhone Air For?, Apple Wearables Momentum

Hello everyone. In Wednesday’s update, we went over the major themes and takeaways from Apple’s product event.

  • iPhone Air is the most noteworthy iPhone redesign since at least iPhone X (2017).

  • Hardware design efficiency (with the goal of improving experiences / how devices are used).

  • Battery life optimization (via HW innovation & custom silicon).

  • Apple is ready to push new iPhone usage behaviors (iPhone as a fashion accessory / elevating the front-facing camera as a key differentiator from wearable cameras).

In going through my notes from this week, there were a handful of topics that deserved more attention and explanation than just a quick mention. Those discussion topics will comprise today’s (long) update. The updates originally meant for yesterday (Thursday) and today (Friday) have been combined into today’s update.

On Monday, we will go over my full notes from the week. 


Observations Attending Apple’s “Awe Dropping” Event

This week’s event marked ten years since attending my first Apple event at Bill Graham Civic Auditorium in San Francisco. Over the years, there has been evolution in Apple’s product events. However, this week’s event seemed to contain more changes than usual.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Apple’s “Awe Dropping” Event Review: Major Takeaways and Themes

Happy Wednesday. Today’s update includes the first part of my Apple event review. Apple’s pretaped presentation can be viewed here. The discussion will flow into tomorrow’s update. Let’s jump right in.


Apple’s “Awe Dropping” Event Review: Major Takeaways and Themes

iPhone Air

The iPhone Air is the most noteworthy iPhone redesign since the iPhone X in 2017. It’s tough putting the two redesigns head-to-head though as the iPhone X also included a significant change to how we engage with an iPhone (Touch ID -> Face ID as the home button was removed).

iPhone Air

After spending some time with the iPhone Air, the device lives up to the hype. There is a certain natural feeling found with the iPhone Air, as in you tend to gravitate to a thin device. Even after just a few minutes with iPhone Air, the other flagship iPhones feel shockingly thick. Our minds can play tricks on us. This exercise will be easily replicated in Apple stores when the iPhone Air is demoed next to the other iPhone 17 flagships.

Many people may associate an ultra-thin gadget with smallness. However, one of my first reactions using iPhone Air was that

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Some Thoughts Ahead of Apple’s Event, Apple Facing Improving Device Upgrade Environment

Hello everyone.

Apple is holding its product event next Tuesday at Apple Park. Accordingly, next week’s update schedule needs to be adjusted. There will be updates on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. At this time, my expectation is that all three updates next week will be dedicated to reviewing Apple’s event, but we can revisit that plan next week.

Today’s discussion will focus on a few additional topics that are on my mind ahead of Apple’s event.


Some Thoughts Ahead of Apple’s Event

Expectations are on the rise ahead of Apple’s “Awe dropping” event.

 
 

While there is a surprisingly high level of awareness among the public that new iPhones come out in the fall, it certainly feels like attention surrounding the iPhone is elevated. Some of this could be due to more iPhone users being in a position to upgrade. Another factor could be that some of these iPhone rumors involving significant design changes is getting through to people.

All signs point to Apple unveiling an all-new ultra-thin iPhone next week. The new model, which would be positioned somewhere between the base flagship iPhone and the pro models will likely grab the most buzz and press attention.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Google’s Search Remedies Verdict, A Big Win for Apple, What Was Wall Street Expecting?

Hello everyone. Today’s update will be dedicated to discussing the U.S. v. Google search remedies verdict. Let’s jump right in.


Google’s Search Remedies Verdict

Overall, this verdict was a major win for Google. The Court didn’t even take a middle-of-the-road path with a judgement tailored in such a way so that both sides could claim themselves as winners.

  • Google does not need to divest Chrome / Android.

  • Google can continue to pay for default (search) placement.

Based on Google’s response to the verdict, they will continue with their appeal of the initial antitrust ruling. As we will discuss shortly, that stance makes sense. If given the choice, Google would not want to follow a few of the remedies that the Court ruled on. However, looking at the Court’s ruling in its entirety, this verdict represents a huge sigh of relief for Google.

AI mania played a major role in how the Court’s remedies were crafted.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

The Competitive Landscape Favors the iPhone, More on Elon Musk Suing Apple

Hello everyone. The highly anticipated remedies verdict in U.S. v. Google (available here) was released a few hours ago. Based on a quick look over the ruling, things look pretty good for Apple (and Google for that matter). We will dedicate tomorrow’s update to the topic.

For today’s and Thursday’s updates we will focus on a few topics that are on my mind ahead of Apple’s big event next week.

Let’s jump right in.


The Competitive Landscape Favors the iPhone

A week from today, Apple will host its largest event of the year when it comes to generating buzz and attention. WWDC is the largest event when thinking of number of Apple Park guests and overall operation (there’s many moving parts). And one can certainly argue new software is vitally important for the Apple ecosystem. However, the flagship iPhone event in September is able generate more press than any other Apple event. It’s a truly global affair as well. The iPhone is Apple’s best tool for grabbing new users around the world.

From a hardware perspective, attempts to somehow displace iPhone from its perch have not been successful. We can point to AI hardware startups underestimating consumers’ love for iPhone. Meanwhile, Apple peers are struggling to recreate the Apple playbook of vertical integration and ecosystem cohesion.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Elon Musk Sues Apple, Apple Eyeing JPMorgan Chase for Apple Card, Keep an Eye on JPMorgan Chase

Happy Wednesday. Let’s keep things going with three more stories that jumped out at me.


Elon Musk Sues Apple

Here's Ars Technica:

“After a public outburst over Grok’s App Store rankings, on Monday, Elon Musk followed through on his threat to sue Apple and OpenAI.

At first, Musk appeared fixated on ChatGPT consistently topping Apple's ‘Must Have’ app list—which Grok has never made—claiming Apple seemed to preference OpenAI, an Apple partner, over all chatbot rivals. But Musk's filing shows that the X and xAI owner isn't just trying to push for more Grok downloads on iPhones—he's concerned that Apple and OpenAI have teamed up to completely dash his ‘everything app’ dreams, which was the reason he bought Twitter.

At this point appearing to be genuinely panicked about OpenAI's insurmountable lead in the chatbot market, Musk has specifically alleged that an agreement integrating ChatGPT into the iOS violated antitrust and unfair competition laws. Allegedly, the conspiracy is designed to protect Apple's smartphone monopoly and block out AI rivals to lock in OpenAI's dominance in the chatbot market.

As Musk sees it, Apple is supposedly so worried that X will use Grok to create a ‘super app’ that replaces the need for a sophisticated smartphone that the iPhone maker decided to partner with OpenAI to limit X and xAI innovation.”


This lawsuit (available here) is nonsensical and says more about Elon Musk and his frustrations with OpenAI and ChatGPT adoption exceeding that of xAI and Grok than Apple’s handling of the App Store.

The opening paragraph to Musk’s filing comes across as a joke.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Buffett Continues to Trim Apple Stake, Apple to Hit iPhone Milestone in India, iPhone Release Cadence Change Coming?

Hello everyone. We will continue to run forward with story topics that have come out in the past week or so and which deserve our focus. Let’s jump in.


Buffett Continues to Trim Apple Stake

Here’s 9to5Mac:

"Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has again scaled back its stake in Apple. In a regulatory filing this week, Berkshire disclosed that it sold 20 million shares of Apple during the June quarter. Nonetheless, Apple remains the conglomerate’s largest holding at 280 million shares, valued at over $64 billion.

Berkshire began buying Apple stock in 2016. At its peak in 2023, Berkshire Hathaway owned over 915 million shares of Apple, accounting for over 50% of the firm’s holdings. Buffett has trimmed those holdings over the last two years as part of a broader effort to stockpile cash. Berkshire currently holds more than $344 billion, as of the end of Q2 2025.

Buffett has been outspoken in his praise of Apple and Tim Cook. 'I’m somewhat embarrassed to say that Tim Cook has made Berkshire a lot more money than I’ve ever made,' Buffett said earlier this year. 'Nobody but Steve could have created Apple, but nobody but Tim could have developed it as he has. Steve picked Tim to succeed him, and he really made the right decision.'"


There was some thinking that Buffett may have been done with the Apple selling as Berkshire's Apple stake stood at an exact 300M shares. Berkshire's long-standing Coco-Cola stake is at an exact 400M shares.

As these share sales pile up (Buffett has trimmed Berkshire’s Apple stake by 70% from peak levels), my confidence level is growing that the selling has little to do with Apple’s business or valuation and more about Buffett wanting to give his successor Greg Abel the best chance of success.

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Neil Cybart Neil Cybart

Apple Raises Apple TV+ Monthly Pricing by 30%, More Guerrilla Marketing Surfaces for Severance, Apple Reportedly Wants Out of MLB

Hello everyone. Welcome to a new week.

We will jump into things by venturing into Apple TV+ land.


Apple Raises Apple TV+ Monthly Pricing by 30%

In a press statement issued last Thursday, here’s Apple:

“The monthly subscription price for Apple TV+ will increase in the U.S. and select international markets for new subscribers beginning today, August 21. In the U.S., the monthly price is now $12.99 (up from $9.99). Existing subscribers will see the change 30 days after their next renewal date. The annual subscription price remains unchanged, as does pricing for Apple One, which is the easiest way to enjoy all of Apple’s subscription services in one plan at the best value.

Since its launch, Apple TV+ has expanded its deep library of hundreds of exclusive Apple Originals, with thousands of hours of premium programming across genres and brand new releases weekly — all ad-free.”


The following exhibit shows stated Apple TV+ monthly pricing since the 2019 launch including this newest 30% increase. The two prior increases were 40% (2022) and 43% (2023).

This latest price increase is different from the others as Apple did not alter Apple TV+ pricing for annual and Apple One subscriptions.

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