Elon Musk Wants to Take Tesla Private, Tesla Funding and Apple, Disney Discusses Video Strategy
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- Elon Musk Wants to Take Tesla Private
- Tesla Funding and Apple
- Disney Discusses Video Strategy
Today’s email begins with the big Tesla news. The discussion then switches gears to talk about video streaming as Disney provided the clearest view yet of its video plans.
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Fitbit Earnings, Garmin Earnings, Wrist Wearables Market Observations
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- Fitbit Earnings
- Garmin Earnings
- Wrist Wearables Market Observations
Today’s email has a wearables theme as we discuss Fitbit and Garmin earnings, concluding with some of my observations regarding developments in the wrist wearables space.
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Apple 3Q18 10-Q Notes, Apple Surpasses Trillion-Dollar Market Cap
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- Apple 3Q18 10-Q Notes
- Apple Surpasses Trillion-Dollar Market Cap
Today's email kicks off with my notes from Apple's 3Q18 10-Q. We cover 14 topics. The discussion then turns to my thoughts on Apple reaching a trillion-dollar market cap and why so many articles written about the subject were off base.
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Apple 3Q18 Earnings Review (Details)
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- Apple 3Q18 Earnings Review (Part 2 - Details)
Today's email includes the second half of my Apple 3Q18 earnings review. Yesterday's email was focused on the major themes (available here). Today's email goes over my full notes from Apple's earnings and conference call. We cover 25 different topics.
My full Apple 3Q18 earnings review is available for Above Avalon members. To continue reading, click here.
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Apple 3Q18 Earnings Review (Major Themes)
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- Apple 3Q18 Earnings Review (Part 1 - Major Themes)
Today's email includes the first half of my Apple 3Q18 earnings review. We discuss the major themes from Apple's earnings report and conference call. The second half of my earnings review (available here) goes over my full notes from Apple's earnings release and conference call.
My full Apple 3Q18 earnings review is available for Above Avalon members. To continue reading, click here.
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Apple’s Tricky Road to a Trillion, Samsung’s Flagship Smartphone Not Selling Well, Walmart Exploring Subscription Video Streaming Service
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- Apple’s Tricky Road to a Trillion
- Samsung’s Flagship Smartphone Not Selling Well
- Walmart Exploring Subscription Video Streaming Service
We begin today's email with my thoughts on the narrative that Apple's share buyback and dividends are making it increasingly difficult for Apple to reach a trillion dollar market cap. The discussion then turns to Samsung's earnings and the company blaming its weak performance on lackluster demand for its flagship smartphone. We conclude things with my thoughts on Walmart investigating its own subscription video streaming service.
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Apple’s Growing Confidence in iPad, Spotify 2Q18 Earnings, Apple to Drop Qualcomm Modems
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- Apple’s Growing Confidence in iPad
- Spotify 2Q18 Earnings
- Apple to Drop Qualcomm Modems
We begin today's email with my recent weekly article, "The iPad vs. Mac Juxtaposition." In particular, we discuss how Apple's growing confidence in its iPad business is impacting the way it approaches the Mac. The discussion then turns to my thoughts on Spotify's 2Q18 earnings. We conclude with a closer look at prospects of Apple moving away from Qualcomm modems in this year's flagship iPhones.
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Apple 3Q18 Earnings Preview (Revenue, EPS, Share Buyback, 4Q18 Guidance), Facebook's Dramatic Stock Price Drop
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- Apple 3Q18 Earnings Preview (Part 4 - Revenue, EPS, Share Buyback, 4Q18 Guidance)
- Facebook's Dramatic Stock Price Drop
Today's email concludes my Apple 3Q18 earnings preview. We look at the more important financial line items in my model, including my share buyback and 4Q18 guidance projections. We also go over the methodology and data behind all of my estimates. The first three parts of my 3Q18 earnings preview are available: here (setting the stage), here (iPhone estimates), and here (iPad, Mac, Apple Watch, Other Products, and Services estimates).
We also discuss my thoughts on Facebook's big drop on Wall Street in response to the company's earnings.
My full Apple 3Q18 earnings preview is available for Above Avalon members. To continue reading, click here.
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Apple 3Q18 Earnings Preview (iPad, Mac, Apple Watch, Other Products, and Services Estimates)
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- Apple 3Q18 Earnings Preview (Part 3 - iPad, Mac, Apple Watch, Other Products, and Services Estimates)
Today's email continues my Apple 3Q18 earnings preview. We discuss my iPad, Mac, Apple Watch, Other Products, and Services estimates. We go over the methodology and data behind all of my estimates. The first two parts of the preview are available here (setting the stage) and here (iPhone estimates).
Tomorrow's email will conclude my earnings preview with a big picture view heading into next week's earnings as well as my revenue, EPS, capital return, and 4Q18 guidance estimates.
My full Apple 3Q18 earnings preview is available for Above Avalon members. To continue reading, click here.
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Apple 3Q18 Earnings Preview (iPhone Estimates)
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- Apple 3Q18 Earnings Preview (Part 2 - iPhone Estimates)
Today's email continues my Apple 3Q18 earnings preview. (The first part of the preview is available here.) We discuss my iPhone unit sales, average selling price (ASP), and a few stress test scenarios. In addition, we go over the methodology and data behind my iPhone estimates. Tomorrow's email will go over my iPad, Mac, Services, and Apple Watch estimates.
My full Apple 3Q18 earnings preview is available for Above Avalon members. To continue reading, click here.
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Apple 3Q18 Earnings Preview (Setting the Stage), Apple's OLED Diversification Efforts Grow, Mapping Video Talent in Hollywood
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- Apple 3Q18 Earnings Preview (Part 1 - Setting the Stage)
- Apple's OLED Diversification Efforts Grow
- Mapping Video Talent in Hollywood
Today's email includes the first part of my Apple 3Q18 earnings preview. We discuss my thoughts on the overall environment heading into next week's earnings. The email then turns to BOE Technology Group Company trying to become an iPhone OLED display supplier. We look at Apple's expanding efforts to diversify its OLED supply. We conclude with Shonda Rhimes beginning to talk about her Netflix deal and what Rhimes' decision tells us about how the best talent view the various players entering the video streaming wars.
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How Apple Is Changing, 2Q18 Microsoft Surface Sales, Q&A
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- How Apple Is Changing
- 2Q18 Microsoft Surface Sales
- Q&A
We begin today's email with my thoughts on a recent article by Jason Snell for Macworld regarding four ways Apple has thrown out its old playbook. The email then turns to Microsoft earnings, and we look at Microsoft Surface sales. We conclude with an installment of Q&A. I answer the following questions from Above Avalon members:
- What do I think about a camera for Apple Watch? Do I see this as a priority for Apple?
- When will macOS be able to run on A series chips? Would Apple move completely over to its own chips for Mac?
- What happens to iPhone demand if Apple lowers entry-level iPhone pricing to $299 or lower (from the current $349)?
- Why were Richard Howarth and Alan Dye removed from Apple’s leadership page?
- Do I think there is something more to Apple and satellites given my Apple Maps discussion?
- How do I determine which stories to discuss in these daily emails?
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Additional Thoughts on iPhone Sales Mix, Netflix Moves into Radio, Berkshire Having Trouble Spending Excess Cash
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- Additional Thoughts on iPhone Sales Mix
- Netflix Moves into Radio
- Berkshire Having Trouble Spending Excess Cash
We begin today's email with a few additional thoughts on the current iPhone sales mix and what it may suggest about the need for Apple to raise or lower iPhone pricing. The email then turns to Netflix announcing a move into radio. We conclude with a discussion of how Berkshire Hathaway, one of Apple's top shareholders, is adjusting its own buyback criteria and how it could impact Warren Buffett's AAPL purchases.
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App Store vs. Google Play Metrics, iPhone Sales Mix, 2Q18 PC and Mac Shipments
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- App Store vs. Google Play Metrics
- iPhone Sales Mix
- 2Q18 PC and Mac Shipments
We kick off today's email with my takeaways from Sensor Tower's 1H18 recap for the App Store and Google Play. The email then turns to iPhone and new data regarding iPhone sales mix by device. We conclude by going over the latest PC and Mac shipment estimates from IDC.
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Netflix 2Q18 Earnings, Facebook Hires Google Chip Leader, Apple’s Struggles in India Continue
Today's Above Avalon daily update includes the following topics:
- Netflix 2Q18 Earnings
- Facebook Hires Google Chip Leader
- Apple’s Struggles in India Continue
We begin today's email with my thoughts on Netflix's 2Q18 earnings results. The discussion then turns to Facebook poaching a key player in Google's silicon efforts. We go over my three observations about the move. The email concludes with Apple reportedly running into more trouble in India.
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